Chinese dynastys on average last 100 300 years over the past 2200 years, so i would say china will definitely survive past 2020 until 20402050 at latest contrary to george friedman s projection, especially since china has at least two decades of solid growth left in the gas tank and ccp is more stable than imperial rule. Futurologist friedman americas secret war, 2004, etc. In his provocative book, george friedman turns his eye on the futureoffering a lucid, highly readable forecast of the. Predictions for the next 100 years reverse retrograde. George friedman is the founder of stratfor, a geopolitical intelligence firm and author of two books about the global future.
At one point in the book, when discussing scenarios for the 2040s, he sees a resurgent japan attacking american. He explains where and why future wars will erupt and how they will be fought, which nations will gain and lose economic and. The wall street journal in the next 100 years, george friedman offers a lucid, highly. Yet the book is fundamentally brilliant, and the macro issues might render the three areas above moot. Buy next 100 years, the pols by george friedman isbn. What are important takeaways from the next 100 years. The books analysis of geopolitical mechanisms is still superb from what i can see, and it is an interesting read. He is founder and chief intelligence officer of stratfor, which analyses and forecasts trends in world affairs. In his provocative book, george friedman turns his eye on the futureoffering a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twentyfirst. Map the world circa 2050, according to george friedmans book the next 100 years.
Friedman also speculates in the book on changes in technology and culture that may take place during this period. These are a few of the audacious and often controversial predictions of george friedman, author of the. A forecast for the 21st century by george friedman is a very interesting book. In the next 100 years, friedman takes his lifetimes worth of study and analysis and allows his imagination to run freely perhaps a little too freely in forecasting what paths geopolitics might take over the next century. In the next 100 years, friedman turns his eye on the future. My views were certainly challenged and yours will be too by the stance in george friedmans new book, the next 100 years. There are some who believe that the trends of the last thirty years will continue indefinitely.
The next 100 years is a 2009 book by george friedman. Predictions have made george friedman a hot property these days. What do you guys think of george friedmans books the. Friedman, as the chairman of stratfor, the global intelligence firm, believes that geography, population, and the surprising way history has of confounding our expectations are all important. Find all the books, read about the author, and more. The next 100 years goodreads meet your next favorite book. From the 15th century onwards, european powers collectively overwhelmed the world, creating the first truly global geopolitical system in human history, to the point where the fate of.
The next 100 years by george friedman overdrive rakuten. China fragments, a new cold war with russia, mexcio challenges u. Its been a while since i read it but i do remember the biggest takeaway being that the future can end up being very different from what youd think. Access a free summary of the next 100 years, by george friedman and 20,000 other business, leadership and nonfiction books on getabstract.
Friedman gyorgy, born february 1, 1949 is a hungarianborn u. Books by george friedman author of the next 100 years. George friedmans the next 100 years has a serious wow factor. The next 100 years pdf summary george friedman 12min blog. These are a few of the audacious and often controversial predictions of george friedman, author of the next 100 years, a forecast for the 21st century, which has recently been issued in paperback with a new preface. I just finished george friedmans the next 100 years. Friedman is the author of six books, including the new york times bestsellers the next 100 years and the next decade. In his thoughtprovoking new book, george friedman, founder of stratfor the preeminent private intelligence and forecasting firmfocuses on what he knows best, the future. His latest book is written with the keen insight and thoughtful analysis that has made him a renowned expert in geopolitics and forecasting, the next 100 years presents a fascinating picture of what lies ahead. He came to avid reader to talk us through some of the social and political. Prophecy, whether by astrologers, sciencefiction writers or geopoliticians, has a dismal track record, but readers will enjoy this steady stream of clever historical analogies, economic analyses and startling demographic data.
Positing that civilization is at the dawn of a new era, he offers a lucid, highly. Feb 02, 2009 there are some who believe that the trends of the last thirty years will continue indefinitely. These are a few of the audacious and often controversial predictions of george friedman, author of the next 100 years, a forecast for the 21st century, which has recently been issued in paperback with a. Mahans point of view was that whoever controls the worlds oceans. Everyday low prices and free delivery on eligible orders. George friedman, discusses his new book a forecast of the next 100 years. The next 100 years brilliant, flawed the scholarly. Next 100 years stratfor george friedman part 1 youtube. In the long view, history is seen as a series of eventsbut the course of those events is. The author of the acclaimed new york times bestseller the next 100 years now focuses his geopolitical forecasting acumen on the next decade and the imminent events and challenges that will test america and the world, specifically addressing the skills that will be required by the decades leaders. The world circa 2050, according to george friedmans book. George friedman predicted in 1991 a second usjapan war in.
The wall street journal in the next 100 years, george friedman offers a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twentyfirst century. A forecast for the 21st century by george friedman doubleday. A forecast for the 21st century george friedmans the next 100 years. C rise in so surface waters in summer, with local temperature increases up to 2. George friedman is founder and chairman of geopolitical futures, which specializes in geopolitical forecasting. Jan 11, 2010 buy next 100 years, the pols by george friedman isbn. Where weve beenand where were going, which forecasts the major events and challenges that will test america and the american president over the course of the next decade. In his thoughtprovoking new book, george friedman, founder of stratforthe preeminent private intelligence and. China cannot survive a billion pissed off peasants. I have not read this book, but the inaccuracy of that prediction is telling when one considers the approach that the author is taking with predicting the next 100 years. George friedman s most popular book is the next 100 years.
Friedman is chief intelligence officer and founder of strategic forecasting, inc. George friedman is the founder of stratfor, a forecasting and private intelligence company, and an author. He explains where and why future wars will erupt and how they will be fought, which nations will gain and lose economic and political. From the 15th century onwards, european powers collectively overwhelmed the world, creating the first truly global geopolitical system in human history, to the point where the fate of australian. My views on the book the next 100 years forecast for the. My views on the book the next 100 years forecast for the 21st century by george friedman published on june 7, 2014 june 7, 2014 likes 4 comments.
What do you guys think of george friedmans books the next. May 08, 2010 this futurist, george friedman, in his book the next 100 years stands on the century old shoulders of geopolitician strategists like alfred thayer mahan and sir halford mackinder who wrote the two guiding principles for geographic control of the world for the 20th century. Drawing on a profound understanding of history and geopolitical patterns dating back to the roman empire, he shows that we are now, for the first time in half a millennium, experiencing the dawn of a new historical cycle. In his thoughtprovoking new book, george friedman, founder of stratforthe preeminent private intelligence and forecasting firmfocuses on what he knows best, the future. Jan 26, 2010 a fascinating, eyeopening and often shocking look at what lies ahead for the u. Once, mayans lived unaware that there were mongols, who were unaware there were zulus. Feb 17, 2009 my views were certainly challenged and yours will be too by the stance in george friedmans new book, the next 100 years. In this sydney writers festival session, internationally renowned security and intelligence expert george friedman talks to michael sexton about the key ideas of his new book, the next 100. Written with the keen insight and thoughtful analysis that has made george friedman a renowned expert in geopolitics and forecasting, the next 100 years presents a. Friedman uses examples from the past to demonstrate that events in history would have been consi. A forecast for the 21st century by george friedman.
Reads like a year olds timeline not a serious prediction. Feb 27, 2009 in the next 100 years, friedman turns his eye on the future. In his thoughtprovoking new book, george friedman, founder of stratfor the preeminent private intelligence and forecasting firmfocuses on what he. Its a book that speculates the future by using history, trends and by applying the decline and fall of europe as the centerpiece and its replacement. If you are the publisher or author of this book and feel that. He is the founder and chairman of geopolitical futures, an online publication that analyzes and forecasts the course of global events.
Nov 19, 2008 written with the keen insight and thoughtful analysis that has made george friedman a renowned expert in geopolitics and forecasting, the next 100 years presents a fascinating picture of what lies. Apr 29, 2009 i just finished george friedmans the next 100 years. George friedmans the next 100 years 2009 is a followup to his book americas secret war 2004. The next 100 years is a fascinating, eyeopening and often shocking look at what lies ahead for the u. Jun 07, 2014 my views on the book the next 100 years forecast for the 21st century by george friedman published on june 7, 2014 june 7, 2014 likes 4 comments. The next decade and the next 100 years, new york times bestsellers. The next 100 years summary the next 100 years is a compelling and entertaining book in which political analyst george friedman makes some precise predictions which should play out in the 21 st century he first visits the cycles of change throughout history, to come to the. I believe the chinese cycle will move to its next and inevitable phase in the coming decade.
Not least because the author does something that very few academics or political scientists are willing to do. Prior to founding geopolitical futures, he was chairman of its predecessor stratfor, the private. The next 100 years a forecast for the 21 st century by george friedman founder of stratfor and bestselling author of americas secret war in his long awaited, much anticipated new book, george friedman brings us a highly provocative look in to the future with the next 100 years. A forecast for the 21st century by george friedman the next 100 years is an interesting look at what the twentyfirst century will look and feel like based on geopolitics. In the book, friedman attempts to predict the major geopolitical events and trends of the 21st century. Jun 24, 2015 its been a while since i read it but i do remember the biggest takeaway being that the future can end up being very different from what youd think.
This futurist, george friedman, in his book the next 100 years stands on the century old shoulders of geopolitician strategists like alfred thayer mahan and sir halford mackinder who wrote the two guiding principles for geographic control of the world for the 20th century. The next 100 years summary the next 100 years is a compelling and entertaining book in which political analyst george friedman makes some precise predictions which should play out in the 21 st century. See all 15 formats and editions hide other formats and editions. While this is a great book for anyone seeking to understand the bounded reality of geopolitics, sources of americas preeminence, and limitations on international relations in the coming decades, it has flaws that i found increasingly apparent as the book went on some of which may just be the. Chinese dynastys on average last 100300 years over the past 2200 years, so i would say china will definitely survive past 2020 until 20402050 at latest contrary to george friedmans projection, especially since china has at least two decades of solid growth left. I recently finished reading the next 100 years, a book by george friedman that outlines the possible political, technological, and social trends of the next 100 years. Read the next 100 years, by george friedman on bookmate. In his provocative book, george friedman turns his eye on the futureoffering a lucid. A forecast for the 21st century paperback january 26, 2010. Thus, despite the reverses of recent years, there is no doubt in friedmans mind that the current century is the american century. George friedman s the next 100 years has a serious wow factor.
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